PolyBot

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Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.11. Range 0.11 to 0.29. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.187272
0.20117189
0.21230419
0.22101520
0.2682601
0.27150751
0.2830781
0.3235816
0.3530846
0.6350896
0.6540936
0.671501,086

Spread0.02Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.168080
0.1220100
0.1118118
0.10312430
0.09200630
0.08200830
0.078381,668
0.064,0005,668
0.05205,688
0.045006,188
0.038337,022
0.021,2708,292

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.848080
0.8820100
0.8918118
0.90312430
0.91200630
0.92200830
0.938381,668
0.944,0005,668
0.95205,688
0.965006,188
0.978337,022
0.981,2708,292

Spread0.02Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.827272
0.80117189
0.79230419
0.78101520
0.7482601
0.73150751
0.7230781
0.6835816
0.6530846
0.3750896
0.3540936
0.331501,086

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
SteveTheFishYes677.85
HauchnYes120.33
Romiche22Yes70.01
akatboYes66.72
387411007415611814092217897387Yes57.41
GenaTheBondKilIerYes52.78
0x3783CCFd7c0f486b855911A4aF4e31C15B5236d2-1784620073558Yes31.5
pootytherewardfarmerYes20
POB1Yes11.7
smarttradderYes4.99
0xa5ef…2966No1,669.63
1in1000No100
smarterstrat-juniorNo20
AJSVNo19.7
pppnnNo4.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:19:34BUYYes0.189$1.62
07:42:49BUYNo0.7826562513$10.02
07:42:49BUYNo0.810$8.00
07:40:40BUYNo0.7810$7.80
07:40:40BUYNo0.789$6.94
21:36:57BUYNo0.7720$15.38
21:36:57BUYNo0.7710$7.70
12:57:12SELLYes0.233$0.72
03:52:15SELLNo0.7615$11.41
08:49:37BUYNo0.767$5.32
03:30:19BUYYes0.2320$4.60
16:15:58SELLYes0.2515$3.75
14:06:10BUYNo0.7715$11.55
14:06:09BUYYes0.22120$26.47
01:54:10BUYNo0.830$24.00
01:54:09SELLYes0.210$2.00
01:54:07BUYNo0.810$8.00
21:52:19BUYNo0.7940$31.60
21:47:04BUYNo0.799$7.11
21:47:04BUYNo0.7930$23.70
21:32:19SELLYes0.20$0.04
21:25:45BUYNo0.810$8.00
16:19:40BUYNo0.8110$8.10
16:19:40BUYNo0.8110$8.10
13:37:42SELLNo0.8420$16.80