ny5e56uwu32
0x52e0ee3872ab19c5970530c870ae8ade3cff89e4
- Realised P&L
- $-863.03
- Volume
- $40.9k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $224.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.762 | 0.670 | $96.93 | −$13.31 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $36.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $27.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19? · No | 0.150 | 0.285 | $25.65 | +$12.15 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.035 | $8.63 | −$0.53 |
| Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.660 | 0.815 | $8.15 | +$1.55 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.041 | $8.10 | −$7.90 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.013 | $6.41 | −$6.41 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.022 | $4.50 | −$7.50 |
| Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.185 | $1.85 | −$0.35 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19? · No | 0.030 | 0.020 | $0.46 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.76at 0.537Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$65.19at 0.347Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$47.71at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$46.52at 0.164Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
- +$37.98at 0.367United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 00:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.69 |
| 10-18 21:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 14:17 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.69 | $8.97 |
| 10-18 13:25 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-18 13:19 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-18 13:18 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-18 13:17 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.37 | $6.29 |
| 10-18 13:15 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.42 | $2.94 |
| 10-18 13:15 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.41 | $2.87 |
| 10-18 13:14 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.4 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 13:14 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.29 | $2.03 |
| 10-18 13:10 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.17 | $12.75 |
| 10-18 12:55 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 10-17 19:11 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.345 | $6.94 |
| 10-17 19:05 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |