0x3783CCFd7c0f486b855911A4aF4e31C15B5236d2-1784620073558
0x3783ccfd7c0f486b855911a4af4e31c15b5236d2
- Realised P&L
- $-125.59
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $203.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.03at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$30.19at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$29.57at 0.570Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?
- +$27.35at 0.120Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?
- +$27.11at 0.377Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:16 | Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.3799999975 | $3.09 |
| 10-29 11:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.77 |
| 10-27 20:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999974 | $3.73 |
| 10-26 18:28 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999571 | $11.57 |
| 10-26 18:26 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.729999991 | $20.26 |
| 10-26 17:50 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-25 23:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.141 | $1.89 |
| 10-25 14:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7889999897 | $21.15 |
| 10-25 14:04 | Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.0282507287 | $3.23 |
| 10-25 13:54 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1139999998 | $4.39 |
| 10-25 13:42 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1136430059 | $9.55 |
| 10-25 13:09 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5399999792 | $5.20 |
| 10-25 13:02 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 10-25 12:49 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7879999943 | $11.62 |
| 10-24 23:54 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.45 |