0x3783CCFd7c0f486b855911A4aF4e31C15B5236d2-1784620073558
0x3783ccfd7c0f486b855911a4af4e31c15b5236d2
- Realised P&L
- $-148.93
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $201.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.19at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$29.57at 0.570Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?
- +$27.11at 0.377Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$25.92at 0.343Will Roger Federer attend the US Open Finals?
- +$24.57at 0.394Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:33 | Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.11 |
| 09-17 13:02 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | BUY | 0.9729999993 | $12.77 |
| 09-16 21:42 | Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.389999999 | $3.89 |
| 09-16 21:03 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.15 |
| 09-16 20:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $26.50 |
| 09-16 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.67 |
| 09-16 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.64 |
| 09-16 20:30 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | BUY | 0.135 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 20:23 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-14 18:00 | Will Torino FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-14 16:44 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.1499999971 | $5.21 |
| 09-13 20:27 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 09-13 14:32 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.882 | $4.65 |
| 09-13 14:32 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.40 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $40.11 |