0x41576aF1657d34F991AFee733654F0b45C564cbF-1767297890010
0x41576af1657d34f991afee733654f0b45c564cbf
- Realised P&L
- $-36.17
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $134.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.60at 0.147Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
- +$25.00at 0.750Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$14.95at 0.215Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$13.97at 0.767Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
- +$13.60at 0.320Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:50 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 18:14 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 10-02 04:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 19:35 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-01 19:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | BUY | 0.91 | $63.70 |
| 10-01 04:50 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-27 06:03 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9569999981 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 04:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9769999794 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 04:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.976 | $0.58 |
| 09-19 06:19 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6229999754 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9401747973 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 16:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 16:20 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9199999972 | $40.00 |
| 09-08 20:02 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.996 | $39.84 |
| 09-04 04:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9289999842 | $50.00 |