Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 40 min size · 7.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.092. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.087. Range 0.086 to 0.092. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.101	41	41
0.105	125	166
0.111	540	706
0.115	200	906
0.129	113	1,019
0.130	500	1,519
0.136	25	1,544
0.170	50	1,594
0.197	50	1,644
0.232	75	1,719
0.233	30	1,749
0.235	20	1,769

Spread0.018Mid0.092

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.083	60	60
0.082	1,072	1,132
0.081	300	1,432
0.080	200	1,632
0.076	96	1,728
0.073	330	2,058
0.072	823	2,880
0.025	236	3,116
0.024	1,048	4,164
0.023	4,516	8,680
0.022	20,070	28,750
0.005	1,000	29,750

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.917	60	60
0.918	1,072	1,132
0.919	300	1,432
0.920	200	1,632
0.924	96	1,728
0.927	330	2,058
0.928	823	2,880
0.975	236	3,116
0.976	1,048	4,164
0.977	4,516	8,680
0.978	20,070	28,750
0.995	1,000	29,750

Spread0.018Mid0.908

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.899	41	41
0.895	125	166
0.889	540	706
0.885	200	906
0.871	113	1,019
0.870	500	1,519
0.864	25	1,544
0.830	50	1,594
0.803	50	1,644
0.768	75	1,719
0.767	30	1,749
0.765	20	1,769

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
pingentfan1	Yes	2,967.37
tescat	Yes	532.09
buoys	Yes	324.87
Anon321321321	Yes	222
Tysha	Yes	212.26
balthazar	Yes	199.51
LornaPredicts	Yes	105
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	89.88
Symbet	Yes	72.6
Numitus1994	Yes	41.79
LesterDiamond	Yes	25
e46m3	Yes	20.03
pppnn	Yes	19
QR1	Yes	11.96
TheForeseer	Yes	10
planktonXD	Yes	4.05
0xa5ef…2966	No	2,429.79
hwey346ed	No	1,531
PaddyAlpha	No	866.25
GingerMcKenna	No	30.39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:27:07	BUY	Yes	0.097	41	$3.98
16:48:54	BUY	Yes	0.095	20	$1.90
16:40:01	BUY	Yes	0.095	53	$5.00
23:35:48	SELL	Yes	0.076	10	$0.76
07:56:41	SELL	No	0.903	7	$5.93
06:31:41	SELL	No	0.902	6	$4.97
03:53:05	BUY	No	0.923	7	$6.06
03:07:36	SELL	No	0.902	6	$5.35
02:36:11	SELL	No	0.903	4	$4.05
23:29:00	BUY	No	0.924	6	$5.09
22:35:51	BUY	No	0.924	4	$4.14
22:07:08	BUY	No	0.924	6	$5.48
12:50:33	SELL	No	0.9	6	$5.13
07:06:28	SELL	No	0.901	2	$2.16
07:06:13	BUY	No	0.927	4	$3.89
06:52:20	SELL	No	0.901	4	$3.44
06:49:52	BUY	No	0.926	6	$5.28
05:09:05	SELL	No	0.901	6	$5.14
23:51:44	BUY	No	0.927	4	$3.54
22:07:10	BUY	No	0.926	6	$5.28
19:09:15	SELL	No	0.901	6	$5.21
13:48:29	SELL	No	0.9	7	$6.14
11:06:57	BUY	No	0.927	6	$5.36
08:47:41	BUY	No	0.928	7	$6.33
02:51:50	BUY	No	0.9	28	$25.20