PolyBot

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Traders

Anon321321321

0x98ac23b264a9eb7fb0b50258086f11868a6240d9

Realised P&L
$68.5k
Volume
$372.8k
Markets traded
5,758
Open portfolio
$204.06

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded5,758
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0450.365$81.03+$71.05
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes0.0590.410$15.37+$13.17
Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0320.051$9.27+$3.35
Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.5000.362$5.08$1.93
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.361$5.05+$4.76
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.360$5.05+$4.75
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0340.945$4.28+$4.12
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0240.065$3.65+$2.31
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? · Yes0.1250.885$3.10+$2.66
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.835$2.78+$1.12
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.0250.497$2.48+$2.35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0710.502$2.41+$2.07
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0450.011$2.33$7.65
Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · Yes0.0270.655$2.33+$2.23
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0090.525$2.18+$2.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:25Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.001$0.03
09-08 09:06Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.17
09-08 09:06Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.14
09-08 09:06Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.13
09-08 09:05Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.15
09-08 09:05Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.18
09-08 09:05Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.021$0.21
09-07 23:12Will Alexandre Fleming win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?SELL0.001$0.07
09-07 23:03Will Randolfe win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?SELL0.072$1.74
09-07 02:14Will Dungon Traditional Leaders Organization (DTLO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?SELL0.001$0.02
09-06 11:32Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.001$0.25
09-06 04:14Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?SELL0.17$0.85
09-05 17:54Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?SELL0.001$0.02
09-05 08:20Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.11$16.46
09-05 06:08Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?SELL0.018$0.11