PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Anon321321321

0x98ac23b264a9eb7fb0b50258086f11868a6240d9

Realised P&L
$36.5k
Volume
$272.5k
Markets traded
4,199
Open portfolio
$263.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded4,199
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0340.410$68.38+$62.63
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.2000.295$15.83+$5.10
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes0.0590.415$15.56+$13.35
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.2000.285$14.35+$4.28
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.2000.255$11.53+$2.49
Will Jackie Young have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.9980.995$9.95$0.04
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%? · Yes0.1110.032$5.11$12.90
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0300.045$4.77+$1.56
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3330.245$4.67$1.68
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%? · Yes0.1110.024$4.65$16.88
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.2000.090$4.53$5.54
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? · Yes0.1670.064$4.37$7.10
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? · Yes0.0480.845$4.17+$3.94
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.264$3.69+$3.39
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0300.225$3.60+$3.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:23Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.01
08-03 09:23Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.01
08-03 09:23Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.01
08-03 09:23Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.01
08-03 09:23Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.01
08-03 09:19Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.995$9.95
08-03 09:19Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$9.98
08-03 09:19Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$9.98
08-03 09:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2$2.00
08-03 09:19Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.997$9.97
08-03 09:19Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.993$9.93
08-03 09:19Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$9.98
08-03 09:19Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.992$9.92
08-03 09:19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.929$9.29
08-03 04:57Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?SELL0.13$0.75