PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Anon321321321

0x98ac23b264a9eb7fb0b50258086f11868a6240d9

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$369.8k
Markets traded
5,758
Open portfolio
$330.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,758
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0000.450$99.90+$99.90
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.0180.790$29.58+$28.92
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0000.092$20.42+$20.42
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes0.0480.445$16.68+$14.88
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0150.041$14.91+$9.35
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0000.051$11.43+$11.43
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0300.270$10.80+$9.61
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0240.150$10.65+$8.96
Will Mario Zamora Gastélum win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? · Yes0.0050.217$7.59+$7.42
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0150.019$7.18+$1.61
Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0320.032$5.87−$0.05
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.388$5.42+$5.13
Will Besiktas win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0240.058$4.12+$2.43
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.279$3.90+$3.60
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0150.009$3.50−$2.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:25Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.001$0.03
09-08 09:06Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.17
09-08 09:06Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.14
09-08 09:06Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.13
09-08 09:05Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.15
09-08 09:05Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022$0.18
09-08 09:05Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.021$0.21
09-07 23:12Will Alexandre Fleming win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?SELL0.001$0.07
09-07 23:03Will Randolfe win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?SELL0.072$1.74
09-07 02:14Will Dungon Traditional Leaders Organization (DTLO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?SELL0.001$0.02
09-06 11:32Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.001$0.25
09-06 04:14Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?SELL0.17$0.85
09-05 17:54Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?SELL0.001$0.02
09-05 08:20Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.11$16.46
09-05 06:08Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?SELL0.018$0.11