Anon321321321
0x98ac23b264a9eb7fb0b50258086f11868a6240d9
- Realised P&L
- $36.5k
- Volume
- $272.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,199
- Open portfolio
- $263.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded4,199
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$666.46at 0.033Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
- +$502.14at 0.235Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$409.53at 0.392Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$369.56at 0.718Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$300.25at 0.015Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:23 | Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.929 | $9.29 |
| 08-03 04:57 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.75 |