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Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.006. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.007223223
0.010318541
0.0116547
0.01240587
0.01318606
0.01650656
0.0176991,355
0.018121,367
0.019181,384
0.020451,429
0.0281251,554
0.029171,572

Spread0.005Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0021,1611,161
0.00110,01511,176

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9981,1611,161
0.99910,01511,176

Spread0.005Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.993223223
0.990318541
0.9896547
0.98840587
0.98718606
0.98450656
0.9836991,355
0.982121,367
0.981181,384
0.980451,429
0.9721251,554
0.971171,572

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WojtekYes17,541.56
Hot-SkullYes1,819.48
neutralwave23Yes1,486.11
0x2999227CCDa235d42032e2a452f3b8954Fa33898-1768158371586Yes986.21
LornaPredictsYes740.89
0x5533…51baYes698.97
MetrixNeoYes528.69
donthackmeYes362.28
GingerMcKennaYes307.1
79fsdfsYes206.51
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes165
VoidOfTheNightYes151.75
neverhackmeYes147.8
mustbethewaterYes119.95
WarriorHYes114.25
TENETENETYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
caspar1248Yes93.26
taerv534Yes70.64
LesterDiamondYes70.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:53:18BUYNo0.99810$9.98
07:26:12BUYNo0.99812$12.00
07:17:34BUYNo0.99883$83.16
06:53:04BUYNo0.9981$1.31
06:27:45BUYNo0.998110$109.78
06:27:45BUYNo0.9985$5.07
06:27:45BUYNo0.99810$10.17
06:27:45BUYNo0.99845$44.91
06:27:45BUYNo0.9985$5.01
06:27:45BUYNo0.99830$29.94
06:27:45BUYNo0.99892$91.89
01:15:12BUYNo0.99850$49.90
00:17:37BUYNo0.9985$5.13
00:17:18BUYNo0.99850$49.90
00:17:18BUYNo0.99849$48.46
00:17:18BUYNo0.99862$61.88
00:16:58BUYNo0.99816$16.30
00:16:57BUYNo0.99810$9.98
00:16:37BUYNo0.99899$98.81
00:13:15BUYNo0.99810$9.98
00:13:13BUYNo0.9988$7.88
00:13:13BUYNo0.9986$6.12
22:50:03BUYNo0.99830$29.94
22:50:03BUYNo0.9986$5.99
18:37:57BUYNo0.9987$6.78