Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.022 to 0.025. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	349	349
0.030	100	449
0.040	100	549
0.060	100	649
0.080	100	749
0.100	100	849
0.200	100	949
0.210	5	954
0.254	20	974
0.255	205	1,179
0.256	30	1,209
0.262	8	1,217

Spread0.008Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	47	47
0.020	473	520
0.015	573	1,093
0.010	500	1,593
0.008	6	1,599
0.007	100	1,699
0.006	600	2,299
0.005	1,000	3,299
0.003	1,316	4,615
0.002	2,360	6,975
0.001	5,045	12,020

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	47	47
0.980	473	520
0.985	573	1,093
0.990	500	1,593
0.992	6	1,599
0.993	100	1,699
0.994	600	2,299
0.995	1,000	3,299
0.997	1,316	4,615
0.998	2,360	6,975
0.999	5,045	12,020

Spread0.008Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	349	349
0.970	100	449
0.960	100	549
0.940	100	649
0.920	100	749
0.900	100	849
0.800	100	949
0.790	5	954
0.746	20	974
0.745	205	1,179
0.744	30	1,209
0.738	8	1,217

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Wojtek	Yes	4,797.07
5.6sol	Yes	1,249.98
81dgd	Yes	581.04
AJSV	Yes	518.6
LornaPredicts	Yes	376.46
0x5533…51ba	Yes	349
GingerMcKenna	Yes	327.92
MetrixNeo	Yes	210.01
11B7c7e5D961	Yes	100
donthackme	Yes	54.48
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493	Yes	50.62
LesterDiamond	Yes	50
luckyborn	Yes	30
Mojito9	Yes	20
TENETENET	Yes	10
mustbethewater	Yes	9.97
Ohyeahohno	Yes	6.58
triklozoid	Yes	5
godblessme2026	Yes	3.49
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	2.61

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:13:45	BUY	No	0.98	17	$16.66
14:13:45	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
15:33:25	BUY	No	0.9813670708	27	$26.77
08:50:59	BUY	No	0.98	58	$57.00
07:25:51	BUY	No	0.98	102	$100.00
07:02:29	BUY	No	0.98	84	$82.00
02:58:47	BUY	No	0.98	209	$204.82
11:58:20	BUY	Yes	0.028	30	$0.84
03:53:35	BUY	No	0.98	13	$12.99
06:56:09	BUY	No	0.979	40	$39.16
06:56:07	BUY	No	0.98	13	$12.54
06:56:07	BUY	No	0.979	16	$15.88
06:56:07	BUY	No	0.9790271111	45	$44.06
23:53:38	BUY	No	0.979	30	$29.37
20:26:23	BUY	No	0.98	1	$1.07
20:23:19	BUY	No	0.98	31	$30.68
20:18:44	BUY	No	0.98	20	$19.60
20:18:44	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
20:15:59	BUY	No	0.98	20	$19.60
20:15:59	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
20:15:59	BUY	No	0.98	21	$20.82
20:15:07	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
19:54:19	BUY	No	0.98	16	$15.58
19:54:19	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
19:54:19	BUY	No	0.98	20	$19.60