PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luckyborn

0x5da6cd2742d232d8bb71d3f8e3eadc0fd567370d

Realised P&L
$90.38
Volume
$122.3k
Markets traded
3,045
Open portfolio
$143.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,045
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes0.6930.685$98.89$1.11
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.3390.320$44.69$2.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10PM ET · Down0.3640.000$0.00$2.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.2770.000$0.00$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$4.00
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00$1.20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$1.50
XRP Up or Down - August 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.6200.000$0.00$3.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 22:42Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.3389999998$47.42
09-18 22:40Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.6926829256$100.00
09-07 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
09-07 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.5$10.00
09-07 16:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?SELL0.36$1.24
09-07 16:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?SELL0.75$1.52
09-07 16:30Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$1.64
09-07 16:30Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$5.29
09-07 16:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 9?SELL0.05$2.46
09-06 18:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?BUY0.8399999607$1.71
09-06 14:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
09-06 07:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?SELL0.09$2.16
09-04 12:36Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999659$4.86
09-04 12:36Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.42$2.10
09-04 08:48Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?BUY0.25$6.01