luckyborn
0x5da6cd2742d232d8bb71d3f8e3eadc0fd567370d
- Realised P&L
- $90.38
- Volume
- $122.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,045
- Open portfolio
- $143.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,045
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.35at 0.727Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
- +$94.77at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3PM ET
- +$85.29at 0.459Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$72.71at 0.143Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$62.80at 0.799Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3389999998 | $47.42 |
| 09-18 22:40 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6926829256 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.24 |
| 09-07 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.52 |
| 09-07 16:30 | Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.64 |
| 09-07 16:30 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.29 |
| 09-07 16:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 9? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.46 |
| 09-06 18:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.8399999607 | $1.71 |
| 09-06 14:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.16 |
| 09-04 12:36 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999659 | $4.86 |
| 09-04 12:36 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-04 08:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.01 |