luckyborn
0x5da6cd2742d232d8bb71d3f8e3eadc0fd567370d
- Realised P&L
- $410.87
- Volume
- $108.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,666
- Open portfolio
- $78.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,666
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.35at 0.727Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
- +$102.12at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3PM ET
- +$77.40at 0.138Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$64.68at 0.793Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$63.12at 0.906Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:24 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2799999739 | $5.14 |
| 08-04 20:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 20:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $6.72 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $13.68 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.09 |
| 08-04 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |