81dgd
0xd6e382afbda0c89e0f562bd212af934557dcea6a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.60
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $311.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.16at 0.258Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.384Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$1.71at 0.707Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.42at 0.660Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
- +$0.82at 0.467Will Micron (MU) close above $940 end of August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 23:40 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.3758450704 | $2.67 |
| 10-05 16:24 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 09-30 12:17 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.335 | $3.99 |
| 09-05 22:30 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-05 18:47 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.05 |
| 09-05 18:47 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.05 |
| 09-05 16:31 | Will Justin Fields start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.48 |
| 09-04 18:26 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 09-04 18:26 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.88 |
| 08-30 19:45 | Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-30 08:00 | Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-28 13:25 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.78 |
| 08-24 01:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.09 |
| 08-22 03:15 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | BUY | 0.257 | $2.49 |