Novus0rdoSeclorum
0xcd91a549956854fdc38efad7e80ff5da8f5432b8
- Realised P&L
- $87.0k
- Volume
- $38.20M
- Markets traded
- 27,774
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded27,774
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.8kat 0.769Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$42.7kat 0.550Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$38.1kat 0.519Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$35.9kat 0.723Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$33.9kat 0.748No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:55 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 10-29 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 09:24 | Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-22 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |