Novus0rdoSeclorum
0xcd91a549956854fdc38efad7e80ff5da8f5432b8
- Realised P&L
- $167.3k
- Volume
- $38.88M
- Markets traded
- 27,536
- Open portfolio
- $151.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded27,536
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.3kat 0.185Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$11.7kat 0.057Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$10.4kat 0.053Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$9.4kat 0.120Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$7.3kat 0.479Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.26 | $40.82 |
| 09-17 08:16 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $156.69 |
| 09-17 08:16 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.989 | $155.27 |
| 09-17 08:16 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $156.84 |
| 09-17 08:16 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.979 | $67.51 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.63 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9854186811 | $50.96 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.57 | $29.47 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-17 07:41 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.82 |
| 09-17 07:41 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $41.20 |
| 09-17 07:18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.57 |
| 09-16 19:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $30.70 |
| 09-16 19:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $30.64 |