Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.014. Range 0.009 to 0.018. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	3,676	3,676
0.011	50	3,726
0.012	2,001	5,727
0.013	4,015	9,742
0.015	5,340	15,083
0.016	223	15,305
0.018	8	15,313
0.019	1,525	16,838
0.020	2,112	18,950
0.027	500	19,450
0.028	214	19,664
0.029	110	19,774

Spread0.001Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	5,550	5,550
0.008	1,023	6,572
0.007	15,310	21,882
0.006	21,857	43,739
0.005	6,500	50,239
0.004	16,850	67,088
0.003	7,427	74,515
0.002	10,824	85,339
0.001	204,818	290,157

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	5,550	5,550
0.992	1,023	6,572
0.993	15,310	21,882
0.994	21,857	43,739
0.995	6,500	50,239
0.996	16,850	67,088
0.997	7,427	74,515
0.998	10,824	85,339
0.999	204,818	290,157

Spread0.001Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	3,676	3,676
0.989	50	3,726
0.988	2,001	5,727
0.987	4,015	9,742
0.985	5,340	15,083
0.984	223	15,305
0.982	8	15,313
0.981	1,525	16,838
0.980	2,112	18,950
0.973	500	19,450
0.972	214	19,664
0.971	110	19,774

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
justT	Yes	17,315.08
Mustafalafel	Yes	14,999.83
Avotoast	Yes	9,999.99
hahaha13	Yes	9,448.48
JTJabba	Yes	6,969.19
tararron	Yes	6,198.66
BigMackyG	Yes	6,027.33
0x67918B45D58ada7de1eea9e3b483d8Ea5F9d0434-1783201601509	Yes	6,017.61
KuchikiDoge	Yes	5,290.26
molodoyy	Yes	4,934.16
horse-trader	Yes	4,494.23
TruongMyLan	Yes	4,269.32
LilTimmyJimmy	Yes	3,499.99
sawyer2718	Yes	2,999.99
eCash	Yes	2,876.61
forgotmydinner	Yes	2,800.02
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	2,736.07
jozeslemsek	Yes	2,686.39
helix-global	Yes	2,617.78
BabyGroot	Yes	2,001.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:34:48	BUY	No	0.9909999993	3	$3.00
21:56:30	BUY	No	0.991	105	$104.05
19:48:37	SELL	Yes	0.009	71	$0.64
11:23:22	BUY	No	0.991	32	$31.64
10:20:07	BUY	Yes	0.01	500	$5.00
10:00:52	BUY	Yes	0.01	200	$2.00
00:20:51	BUY	No	0.991	53	$52.58
00:20:46	BUY	No	0.991	53	$52.58
00:19:33	SELL	Yes	0.009	25	$0.22
00:19:01	BUY	No	0.991	10	$9.94
00:19:01	BUY	No	0.991	40	$40.09
00:19:01	BUY	No	0.991	45	$44.59
21:36:58	BUY	Yes	0.01	500	$5.00
17:11:06	SELL	Yes	0.009	100	$0.90
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	5	$5.11
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	450	$445.95
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	5	$5.13
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	400	$396.40
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	10	$10.21
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	15	$15.15
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	30	$29.82
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	50	$49.55
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	400	$396.40
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	175	$173.43
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.991	75	$74.33