PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hahaha13

0x491e313aad04c39c1aadab4b168c89a4089d667f

Realised P&L
$6.4k
Volume
$381.5k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.165$660.01+$20.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1200.115$575.00−$25.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2280.125$124.99−$102.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.105$105.00−$15.00
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0200.009$89.76−$102.30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2100.135$67.50−$37.50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3400.335$37.19−$0.56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3200.245$27.20−$8.32
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No0.2300.001$0.02−$9.18
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$426.45
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? · No0.1050.000$0.00−$3.2k
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · No0.5860.000$0.00−$240.95
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$2.7k
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8650.000$0.00−$432.50
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? · No0.1120.000$0.00−$2.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 16:011win FDV above $30M one day after launch?SELL0.1$1.00
10-30 15:05Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.46$69.00
10-30 11:11Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?BUY0.002$14.04
10-30 10:38Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?BUY0.0039652295$5.70
10-30 10:31Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.6$2.3k
10-30 10:29Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.2128400955$89.18
10-30 10:28Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?BUY0.004$15.45
10-30 10:261win FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.0830222222$28.02
10-30 10:251win FDV above $45M one day after launch?BUY0.31$46.50
10-27 17:52Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?SELL0.02238661$22.39
10-27 15:31Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?SELL0.0214165049$31.56
10-27 14:46Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?SELL0.02$1.90
10-27 14:45Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?SELL0.02$2.02
10-27 14:38Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?SELL0.02$2.42
10-27 14:37Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?SELL0.02$2.02