sawyer2718
0x3b0e6f6afa3411781df816aa56adda71aaed6348
- Realised P&L
- $271.41
- Volume
- $107.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,651
- Open portfolio
- $163.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,651
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.090 | $72.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.008 | $40.00 | +$20.00 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $35.00 | −$33.41 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $14.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI | 0.410 | 0.051 | $2.06 | −$14.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.99at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$200.97at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$182.00at 0.090S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
- +$176.39at 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$176.39at 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 14:28 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 06-22 10:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $19.80 |
| 06-22 10:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $7.80 |
| 06-22 10:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $26.40 |
| 06-22 10:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $5.45 |
| 06-22 10:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $49.02 |
| 06-22 10:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $6.78 |
| 06-22 10:47 | Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $144.78 |
| 04-05 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $7.99 |
| 04-03 23:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $5.95 |
| 04-03 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $3.16 |
| 04-01 23:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $10.67 |
| 04-01 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $10.67 |
| 03-31 06:10 | Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.54 |
| 03-05 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.419900001 | $40.74 |