LilTimmyJimmy
0x7268cfa94dd8dc270249686c4de18c62c6d0c903
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $588.7k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.642Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.3kat 0.330Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$1.9kat 0.012Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$486.17at 0.580Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$415.00at 0.085GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 17:26 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $96.00 |
| 06-20 17:22 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $127.21 |
| 06-19 14:10 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $50.00 |
| 06-19 14:08 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.027 | $46.73 |
| 06-19 14:07 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.037 | $244.06 |
| 06-19 14:04 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.033 | $15.20 |
| 06-19 14:04 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.033 | $10.80 |
| 06-19 13:59 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.01 | $39.50 |
| 06-17 00:21 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.03 | $16.29 |
| 06-14 16:52 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $160.60 |
| 04-20 17:42 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 04-18 02:29 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $60.00 |
| 04-18 02:28 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |
| 04-15 23:48 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.042 | $5.47 |
| 04-15 23:47 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.004 | $37.18 |