Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.32. Unchanged over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.19 to 0.64. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	56	56
0.33	130	186
0.35	36	221
0.40	108	329
0.47	9	339
0.48	55	394
0.49	20	414
0.50	61	475
0.55	33	508
0.57	25	533
0.60	265	798
0.61	177	975

Spread0.01Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	165	165
0.30	110	275
0.20	57	332
0.17	19	352
0.16	100	452
0.15	100	552
0.14	329	881
0.13	183	1,064
0.12	114	1,178
0.11	295	1,473
0.10	500	1,973
0.07	533	2,505

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	165	165
0.70	110	275
0.80	57	332
0.83	19	352
0.84	100	452
0.85	100	552
0.86	329	881
0.87	183	1,064
0.88	114	1,178
0.89	295	1,473
0.90	500	1,973
0.93	533	2,505

Spread0.01Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	56	56
0.67	130	186
0.65	36	221
0.60	108	329
0.53	9	339
0.52	55	394
0.51	20	414
0.50	61	475
0.45	33	508
0.43	25	533
0.40	265	798
0.39	177	975

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
cqk	Yes	369.13
rocky42025	Yes	263
NoTeacher	Yes	100
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	62
AnonymousElephant69	Yes	52.89
LornaPredicts	Yes	46.94
billygod	Yes	21
bullbull88	Yes	20
guo-rich	Yes	20
oi3ajfoi3jaoifa3	Yes	20
bechamel	Yes	20
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	18.01
CustomTrader	Yes	17.58
WarriorH	Yes	15.52
nc3iceibvtvetvbt	Yes	11.44
WMNB	Yes	5
KiraHK1	Yes	5
Sta123123cxz	Yes	4.48
Tanku26	Yes	2.7
0xa5ef…2966	No	384.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:41:56	BUY	No	0.6899999586	1	$1.00
12:03:45	SELL	Yes	0.31	20	$6.20
11:38:21	SELL	No	0.68	20	$13.60
10:06:08	SELL	Yes	0.31	11	$3.35
08:49:51	SELL	Yes	0.29	80	$23.20
08:45:05	SELL	No	0.62	4	$2.78
08:44:35	BUY	Yes	0.3	40	$12.00
08:44:30	SELL	Yes	0.4071541532	266	$108.13
08:44:30	SELL	Yes	0.37	70	$25.90
08:44:30	BUY	No	0.63	30	$18.90
08:42:06	SELL	Yes	0.5016446385	334	$167.76
08:28:27	BUY	No	0.51	5	$2.55
08:22:26	SELL	No	0.46	20	$9.20
08:21:56	SELL	Yes	0.4294214876	121	$51.96
08:21:38	BUY	Yes	0.4212569832	716	$301.62
08:00:33	SELL	No	0.59	136	$80.24
08:00:32	SELL	No	0.59	56	$33.04
07:15:30	BUY	No	0.6	4	$2.69
06:47:41	BUY	Yes	0.4	10	$4.04
06:37:08	BUY	Yes	0.37	40	$14.80
05:36:32	SELL	Yes	0.2382008447	159	$37.79
05:35:38	SELL	Yes	0.48	5	$2.40
05:35:35	SELL	Yes	0.3499130435	345	$120.72
05:31:48	BUY	Yes	0.48	20	$9.60
05:29:14	BUY	Yes	0.4376103501	26	$11.50