Tanku26
0xa82537e21229293acf35ac576eecfc53a2cc26aa
- Realised P&L
- $20.67
- Volume
- $378.12
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $32.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.86at 0.280Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$5.38at 0.788Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$2.51at 0.665SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
- +$2.39at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.57at 0.675Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:14 | Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:11 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.0185222792 | $0.69 |
| 08-04 08:10 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.0317142857 | $0.31 |
| 08-03 05:14 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 15:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 11:20 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-01 11:19 | Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:19 | Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0825499405 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:18 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:18 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.026999973 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1559998783 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |