AnonymousElephant69
0xbeb9d19f10274da29f21625a2c91fa5a00fd3870
- Realised P&L
- $-12.1k
- Volume
- $975.1k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $248.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.174Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$3.5kat 0.360Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.708Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$2.6kat 0.396Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?
- +$2.6kat 0.010Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 19:29 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5711444921 | $39.92 |
| 09-01 19:05 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $33.54 |
| 09-01 18:52 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 09-01 18:01 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.599 | $17.97 |
| 09-01 18:01 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.599 | $32.56 |
| 09-01 17:59 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.599 | $53.31 |
| 09-01 17:59 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.597 | $13.44 |
| 09-01 17:59 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5985968961 | $30.09 |
| 09-01 08:46 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.557 | $11.14 |
| 08-25 05:43 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-22 02:02 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.391 | $14.86 |
| 08-22 01:22 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.2073675296 | $6.49 |
| 08-19 07:13 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 08-19 07:13 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-19 07:12 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.93 |