CustomTrader
0x9129619d97c7c9bbb8c5b6a997dc30dcc275dd8e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $922.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,635
- Open portfolio
- $442.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,635
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.335Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.9kat 0.048Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.023US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.229Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.4kat 0.960Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.587 | $14.67 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $115.50 |
| 11-01 04:09 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1990423848 | $43.77 |
| 10-31 21:27 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $622.43 |
| 10-31 18:44 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-31 17:44 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.33 | $119.51 |
| 10-31 11:50 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.35 | $72.35 |
| 10-31 07:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.68 |
| 10-31 07:43 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.005 | $4.79 |
| 10-31 03:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.88 | $442.64 |
| 10-31 03:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.883 | $444.15 |
| 10-31 03:33 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.76 | $382.28 |
| 10-31 03:06 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.76 | $322.24 |
| 10-31 03:06 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.87 | $368.88 |
| 10-31 03:06 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.87 | $368.88 |