PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

guo-rich

0x56d3375cf5fc29ea8197b3ce731aea2e8447e307

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$101.0k
Markets traded
1,526
Open portfolio
$128.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,526
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? · No0.9421.000$19.99+$1.15
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8100.890$17.80+$1.60
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%? · No0.8700.999$13.98+$1.80
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4800.575$11.50+$1.90
Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.6200.425$8.50$3.90
Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · Yes0.3890.322$6.44$1.34
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes0.5970.265$5.29$6.65
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · Yes0.4000.260$5.20$2.80
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.3600.475$4.65+$1.13
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? · No0.4400.185$3.70$5.10
Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.5500.175$3.50$7.50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? · No0.4300.165$3.30$5.30
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.3400.165$3.30$3.50
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? · No0.8800.895$2.68+$0.04
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2100.145$2.07$0.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 00:36Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?SELL0.001$0.00
08-11 00:36Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?SELL0.001$0.02
08-11 00:36Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?SELL0.006$0.12
08-11 00:36Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?SELL0.001$0.02
08-11 00:36Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?SELL0.056$1.12
08-11 00:35Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?SELL0.06$1.20
08-11 00:35Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?SELL0.08$1.60
08-11 00:35Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?SELL0.086$1.72
08-11 00:35Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?SELL0.18$3.60
08-11 00:35Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.22$4.40
08-11 00:35Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.25$5.00
08-11 00:35Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.25$5.00
08-11 00:35Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
08-11 00:35Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$6.40
08-11 00:35Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?SELL0.32$6.40