guo-rich
0x56d3375cf5fc29ea8197b3ce731aea2e8447e307
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $101.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,526
- Open portfolio
- $128.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,526
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.78at 0.075Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
- +$20.09at 0.070Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$17.52at 0.057Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?
- +$16.80at 0.081Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
- +$16.66at 0.056Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 00:36 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-11 00:36 | Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-11 00:36 | Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 08-11 00:36 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-11 00:36 | Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.12 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.086 | $1.72 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |