PolyBot

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Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.22. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.16 to 0.26. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2388
0.251,3701,378
0.269242,302
0.271,0003,302
0.303333,635
0.931903,825
0.948434,667
0.952244,891
0.982,2607,151
0.9910,01317,164

Spread0.02Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.21227227
0.208541,080
0.19401,121
0.181241,244
0.17201,264
0.161001,364
0.15201,384
0.141,0812,466
0.133,3835,849
0.091325,981
0.08256,006
0.07716,077

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.79227227
0.808541,080
0.81401,121
0.821241,244
0.83201,264
0.841001,364
0.85201,384
0.861,0812,466
0.873,3835,849
0.911325,981
0.92256,006
0.93716,077

Spread0.02Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7788
0.751,3701,378
0.749242,302
0.731,0003,302
0.703333,635
0.071903,825
0.068434,667
0.052244,891
0.022,2607,151
0.0110,01317,164

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DjibootyYes1,000
meagherYes500
YuliaKyivYes500
0xb021b9821729Ddbb3E46F63Eb836c97d099e4aaB-1768774522950Yes446.24
SusanWarrenHRYes421.77
WSBLBAVPYes133.29
ChilmarkGeneralStoreYes131.58
NickLWorthYes59.99
VolynMolfarYes56.09
FreeCityIndividualYes50
tradetosurvive1Yes35
zhyfacaiYes33
0x67552A1784E6ce3C22a53F0821d209B89995aC4E-1730576928847Yes27.78
GaditimaYes25.64
OseatheapolYes20.83
trader-0eec4a7fYes20.31
Elias.ThornwellYes8.58
lolzzzlolYes8
ox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AAYes4.26
gfdgfvfvssddYes1.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:28:51BUYNo0.788$6.24
17:28:51BUYNo0.788$6.24
17:01:42BUYNo0.7813$9.87
17:01:17BUYNo0.77999994493$2.55
17:01:17BUYNo0.7828$21.84
15:13:02SELLYes0.222$0.42
02:43:53BUYYes0.22999998795$1.14
02:43:53SELLNo0.785$3.90
02:43:51SELLNo0.785$3.90
02:34:51BUYYes0.2245$9.90
18:35:00BUYNo0.797$5.53
18:35:00BUYNo0.797$5.53
16:12:59SELLNo0.7820$15.60
16:08:20SELLNo0.7820$15.60
16:08:15BUYYes0.2240931289446$100.00
16:08:15BUYYes0.2320$4.60
09:17:59BUYNo0.7920$15.80
09:17:59BUYNo0.77243$187.29
09:01:29BUYNo0.7789$68.53
20:48:53BUYYes0.249$2.06
19:41:09BUYYes0.2699999534$1.15
19:36:59BUYYes0.2433106453133$32.43
19:36:59BUYYes0.2520$5.00
13:57:36BUYYes0.239999992321$5.00
09:48:11SELLNo0.7925$19.75