PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChilmarkGeneralStore

0x62382a696ff02a618d8e143d4f0067ad02ce57c8

Realised P&L
$560.90
Volume
$185.2k
Markets traded
883
Open portfolio
$773.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded883
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0440.116$131.25+$81.25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.7500.945$126.00+$26.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.8000.405$101.25$98.75
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.575$58.67+$8.67
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.445$55.63+$5.63
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6700.665$49.63$0.37
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.155$48.44$1.56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.655$48.16$1.84
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.018$30.80$18.97
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1200.155$25.83+$5.83
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0920.091$24.82$0.18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3300.295$22.35$2.65
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.033$21.67+$1.67
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.135$19.29$0.71
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.002$6.50$43.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:55Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.5431605138$25.00
09-16 17:55Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.629999995$25.00
09-10 17:43Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.0279999999$6.00
09-10 17:42Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?SELL0.06$8.58
09-10 17:41Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-10 17:41Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-10 17:39Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3964733694$20.00
09-10 17:37Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.16$50.00
09-09 20:31Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?BUY0.5699999994$30.00
09-09 20:30Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?BUY0.5799999992$30.00
09-08 18:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
08-04 20:09Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?BUY0.25$20.00
08-04 14:35Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0299999986$20.00
08-04 14:35Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$20.00
08-04 14:34Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4899999966$50.00