ChilmarkGeneralStore
0x62382a696ff02a618d8e143d4f0067ad02ce57c8
- Realised P&L
- $560.90
- Volume
- $185.2k
- Markets traded
- 883
- Open portfolio
- $773.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded883
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.92at 0.024Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$217.86at 0.2802024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$182.56at 0.179Will Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?
- +$174.34at 0.5372024 October hottest on record?
- +$167.45at 0.340Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.5431605138 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 17:43 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 17:42 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.58 |
| 09-10 17:41 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 17:41 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 17:39 | Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3964733694 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 17:37 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 20:31 | Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 20:30 | Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 09-08 18:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 20:09 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:35 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0299999986 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:35 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:34 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |