PolyBot

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Traders

meagher

0x275152bacc481e8fd2a7e673d45ae5ae5e573666

Realised P&L
$991.90
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$146.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.2000.235$117.50+$17.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1800.175$29.17−$0.83
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference? · Yes0.6120.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1799999996$30.00
09-28 19:39Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
07-29 12:02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7669923301$500.00
07-02 23:05Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1699999972$50.00
06-17 18:23Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?BUY0.7832522771$20.00
06-17 18:22Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?BUY0.7699999935$20.00
06-17 16:59Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?BUY0.5732945641$10.00
06-17 15:14Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7699999935$20.00
06-17 12:28Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?BUY0.6899999393$10.00
06-17 12:27Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?BUY0.6123456732$20.00
06-17 12:26Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
06-17 12:26Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?BUY0.5436446977$10.00
06-17 12:25Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?BUY0.7699999935$20.00
06-17 12:25Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
05-22 13:15Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?BUY0.4678730474$50.00