meagher
0x275152bacc481e8fd2a7e673d45ae5ae5e573666
- Realised P&L
- $991.90
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $146.67
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.235 | $117.50 | +$17.50 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $29.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference? · Yes | 0.612 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.02at 0.917Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
- +$204.41at 0.952Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$170.64at 0.529Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
- +$146.07at 0.776Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$126.71at 0.61249ers vs. Rams
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 12:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7669923301 | $500.00 |
| 07-02 23:05 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 18:23 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7832522771 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 18:22 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 16:59 | Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5732945641 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 15:14 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 12:28 | Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 12:27 | Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6123456732 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 12:26 | Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 12:26 | Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5436446977 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 12:25 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 12:25 | Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 13:15 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.4678730474 | $50.00 |