0xb021b9821729Ddbb3E46F63Eb836c97d099e4aaB-1768774522950
0xb021b9821729ddbb3e46f63eb836c97d099e4aab
- Realised P&L
- $364.96
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $154.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$299.43at 0.210Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$108.22at 0.274Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$52.80at 0.657New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$40.91at 0.427Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
- +$34.73at 0.467Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:08 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 16:08 | Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2240931289 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 16:26 | Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 06-04 16:25 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 06-04 16:19 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $40.00 |
| 06-02 16:57 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999953 | $30.00 |
| 06-02 16:56 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 18:30 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 18:26 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 05-27 20:42 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.2260442195 | $20.00 |
| 05-27 20:39 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 19:27 | New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.6499999948 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 19:05 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 16:19 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 16:15 | Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |