PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb021b9821729Ddbb3E46F63Eb836c97d099e4aaB-1768774522950

0xb021b9821729ddbb3e46f63eb836c97d099e4aab

Realised P&L
$364.96
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$154.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.2240.235$104.87+$4.87
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$49.17−$0.83
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00−$20.00
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Washington Nationals0.3800.000$0.00−$20.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$20.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 · Over0.5200.000$0.00−$30.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) · Toronto Blue Jays0.3500.000$0.00−$30.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants0.5500.000$0.00−$20.00
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.8200.000$0.00−$50.00
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$20.00
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$50.00
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 · Under0.4300.000$0.00−$20.00
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.4400.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 16:08Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.2999999994$50.00
10-01 16:08Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.2240931289$100.00
06-04 16:26Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesBUY0.6099999961$50.00
06-04 16:25Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5BUY0.5$20.00
06-04 16:19Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5BUY0.5499999993$40.00
06-02 16:57Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)BUY0.3499999953$30.00
06-02 16:56Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5BUY0.5199999979$30.00
05-29 18:30Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)BUY0.4199999944$30.00
05-29 18:26Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)BUY0.4599999939$30.00
05-27 20:42Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.2260442195$20.00
05-27 20:39Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.3299999922$20.00
05-26 19:27New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.6499999948$100.00
05-25 19:05Hurricanes vs. CanadiensBUY0.4399999921$20.00
05-25 16:19Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5499999931$20.00
05-25 16:15Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5BUY0.4599999968$20.00