0x67552A1784E6ce3C22a53F0821d209B89995aC4E-1730576928847
0xce68647eb55efbe667ba3b54fa701209a8edd98f
- Realised P&L
- $199.59
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $279.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$507.25at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.55at 0.239Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?
- +$-2.90at 0.071Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
- +$-5.11at 0.266Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$-5.15at 0.025Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 13:43 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 01:56 | Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.032 | $2.30 |
| 10-09 00:44 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 22:21 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 01:50 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 02:11 | Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.2502815668 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:57 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 22:12 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 22:04 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 22:04 | Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:58 | Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.1179999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:58 | Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.154328666 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:58 | Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0694582251 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:58 | Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0098405826 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:58 | Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0228577959 | $5.00 |