PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NickLWorth

0x8e824a605eefb785fd091aefc4fc1fc581415fad

Realised P&L
$-594.49
Volume
$138.4k
Markets traded
638
Open portfolio
$76.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded638
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.6550.770$38.36+$5.71
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.5330.418$20.90$5.75
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.0120.049$5.66+$4.26
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$3.63$2.31
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.2200.280$2.55+$0.55
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0390.004$2.11$21.29
Canada's population Up or Down this year? · Up0.5300.205$2.05$3.25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1800.021$1.17$8.83
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? · No0.7800.000$0.00$7.80
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? · No0.5550.000$0.00$11.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.80
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$9.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$3.60
Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.6000.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 21:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.994$621.20
07-16 02:24Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9844506556$28.53
07-13 17:24Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.998$9.98
07-11 16:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.9934681252$295.16
07-01 18:56Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.533$3.59
07-01 15:27Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?BUY0.59$5.90
07-01 15:05Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?SELL0.993$29.79
07-01 15:01Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
07-01 14:57Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
07-01 01:43Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.82$24.60
07-01 01:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.86$86.00
07-01 01:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.623762354$10.00
07-01 01:11Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?SELL0.92$9.20
06-30 21:46Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.15$1.50
06-30 21:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.61$6.10