NickLWorth
0x8e824a605eefb785fd091aefc4fc1fc581415fad
- Realised P&L
- $-594.49
- Volume
- $138.4k
- Markets traded
- 638
- Open portfolio
- $76.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded638
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$604.46at 0.090Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$525.60at 0.080NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$463.58at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1PM ET
- +$300.65at 0.370Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$285.85at 0.649Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 21:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $621.20 |
| 07-16 02:24 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9844506556 | $28.53 |
| 07-13 17:24 | Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-11 16:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.9934681252 | $295.16 |
| 07-01 18:56 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.533 | $3.59 |
| 07-01 15:27 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 07-01 15:05 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $29.79 |
| 07-01 15:01 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 14:57 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 01:43 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $24.60 |
| 07-01 01:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 07-01 01:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.623762354 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 01:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 06-30 21:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 06-30 21:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |