NickLWorth
0x8e824a605eefb785fd091aefc4fc1fc581415fad
- Realised P&L
- $-709.84
- Volume
- $140.2k
- Markets traded
- 679
- Open portfolio
- $785.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded679
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$604.46at 0.090Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$525.60at 0.080NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$463.58at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1PM ET
- +$300.65at 0.370Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$285.86at 0.649Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-18 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-17 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-17 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.22 |
| 09-16 18:25 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 18:25 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 09-16 18:25 | Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-16 18:11 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.91 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.13 |
| 09-15 15:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $45.60 |
| 09-15 15:35 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $380.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.116 | $11.60 |