ox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA
0x7ed3aed17a79c2a3375da27a9470b310585027aa
- Realised P&L
- $-280.61
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $232.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.58at 0.639US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$46.70at 0.267Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$43.34at 0.261Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$17.71at 0.076Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$15.62at 0.727Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:57 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.9479999864 | $2.78 |
| 10-03 12:28 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.633 | $0.80 |
| 10-03 08:27 | Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 20:19 | Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.05 |
| 10-02 11:40 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6139998994 | $1.77 |
| 10-02 10:21 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8515075 | $13.62 |
| 10-02 10:20 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.128 | $2.28 |
| 10-01 10:45 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? | BUY | 0.7299999548 | $3.55 |
| 10-01 00:42 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92? | BUY | 0.8529999546 | $2.52 |
| 09-30 22:45 | Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.7399998929 | $1.52 |
| 09-30 22:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.35 |
| 09-30 22:02 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999873 | $1.13 |
| 09-30 19:41 | Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.269999953 | $1.15 |
| 09-30 17:49 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.10 |
| 09-30 16:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9709999936 | $1.98 |