Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-08
Resolves by: https://elections.nz/
Rewards: 50 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.45. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.39 to 0.64. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	103	103
0.51	65	168
0.53	55	223
0.55	40	263
0.59	20	283
0.60	49	332
0.66	50	382
0.73	65	447
0.74	40	487
0.75	50	537
0.82	6	543
0.83	229	772

Spread0.09Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	103	103
0.40	50	153
0.35	297	450
0.21	300	750
0.12	6	757
0.11	39	796
0.10	51	847
0.09	22,222	23,069
0.07	35,714	58,783
0.05	50,000	108,783
0.03	14	108,797
0.02	150,000	258,797

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	103	103
0.60	50	153
0.65	297	450
0.79	300	750
0.88	6	757
0.89	39	796
0.90	51	847
0.91	22,222	23,069
0.93	35,714	58,783
0.95	50,000	108,783
0.97	14	108,797
0.98	150,000	258,797

Spread0.09Mid0.54

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	103	103
0.49	65	168
0.47	55	223
0.45	40	263
0.41	20	283
0.40	49	332
0.34	50	382
0.27	65	447
0.26	40	487
0.25	50	537
0.18	6	543
0.17	229	772

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheOne777	Yes	169.3
Retarts	Yes	129.7
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	123.73
LornaPredicts	Yes	72.61
nikzang	Yes	40
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	32.5
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	20
GuyFromTinder	Yes	15.22
niglette	Yes	8
WMNB	Yes	5
95dfs	Yes	4.52
1walrus	Yes	2.88
86fgh	Yes	1.92
ijoker	Yes	1.48
0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	Yes	1.09
0xa5ef…2966	No	575.48
lolzzzlol	No	30
cigarettes	No	20
trrr12	No	1.47
0xa06e…d147	No	1.37

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:54:33	BUY	Yes	0.48	65	$31.39
06:34:01	BUY	Yes	0.47	50	$23.55
17:32:33	BUY	No	0.57	20	$11.40
05:44:42	BUY	Yes	0.47	16	$7.52
05:07:58	BUY	Yes	0.47	6	$2.70
22:56:10	BUY	No	0.53	34	$18.02
22:50:40	BUY	No	0.53	5	$2.76
22:50:40	BUY	No	0.53	8	$4.24
22:18:18	SELL	Yes	0.47	0	$0.05
22:16:39	BUY	No	0.5299999748	6	$2.95
22:16:39	BUY	No	0.5299999718	7	$3.76
22:16:37	BUY	No	0.5144375	13	$6.58
22:16:37	BUY	No	0.52	7	$3.69
21:44:12	BUY	Yes	0.47	60	$28.20
23:54:52	BUY	No	0.59	20	$11.80
23:53:44	BUY	Yes	0.42	21	$8.87
23:25:46	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.15
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.59	50	$29.56
03:30:27	BUY	No	0.58	8	$4.83
23:25:42	BUY	Yes	0.41	8	$3.45
14:03:08	BUY	No	0.59	9	$5.09
13:27:51	BUY	No	0.6244	8	$5.00
12:19:42	BUY	No	0.61	7	$4.45
09:47:00	BUY	No	0.61	50	$30.56
03:34:03	BUY	Yes	0.39	6	$2.46