nikzang
0x1ccbbe2736e7400a1249d85db190595eb4cf57b7
- Realised P&L
- $241.49
- Volume
- $43.7k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $405.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.87at 0.299Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
- +$26.00at 0.122Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$23.00at 0.080Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
- +$17.93at 0.402Will Bangladesh win?
- +$17.52at 0.406Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 10:15 | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-14 10:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 08-14 10:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.41 |
| 08-14 10:10 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $11.63 |
| 08-14 10:10 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $11.60 |
| 08-14 10:10 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $22.19 |
| 08-14 10:09 | Will Bangladesh win? | BUY | 0.519 | $5.19 |
| 08-14 03:05 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.30 |
| 08-14 03:04 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.59 |
| 08-14 03:01 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-13 22:49 | Will Bangladesh win? | BUY | 0.327 | $6.54 |
| 08-13 22:48 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.977 | $103.49 |
| 08-13 22:45 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.74 |
| 08-13 22:44 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.0508426 | $2.54 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.085 | $3.40 |