PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.93. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.92. Range 0.91 to 0.94. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.943030
0.95118148
0.96165313
0.978211,134
0.981,3902,524
0.994322,956

Spread0.02Mid0.93

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9244
0.90100104
0.8865169
0.871,0051,174
0.86131,187
0.8581,195
0.833871,582
0.792001,782
0.745002,282
0.701,4103,692
0.09203,712
0.06103,722

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0844
0.10100104
0.1265169
0.131,0051,174
0.14131,187
0.1581,195
0.173871,582
0.212001,782
0.265002,282
0.301,4103,692
0.91203,712
0.94103,722

Spread0.02Mid0.07

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.063030
0.05118148
0.04165313
0.038211,134
0.021,3902,524
0.014322,956

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ImJustKenYes1,967.67
0xB16B00B5Yes1,364.35
pakoYes575.66
podairpodYes401
puravidaYes342.71
0x4e25…d7a7Yes275
mombilYes220.74
TheWolfOfPolyYes183
terrytrl101Yes160.27
donthackmeYes133.19
cry.eth2Yes70.32
11122Yes64.3
Hugin-og-MuninYes25
SiSiYes25
flow-trader-at-optiverYes20.67
hzxs7766Yes18.71
wokerjoesleeperYes10.88
0xe987…b9c5Yes10.02
cy6erpunkerYes10
TryNewThingsYes9.47

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:58:17SELLYes0.9226$23.89
16:30:16BUYYes0.959$9.00
20:44:36SELLNo0.061$0.09
20:10:58BUYYes0.93999997291$1.39
20:10:57BUYYes0.935$4.65
20:01:12BUYYes0.941$1.36
20:01:10BUYYes0.915$4.55
19:57:54BUYYes0.9614$552.68
19:57:28BUYYes0.95$4.50
19:57:27SELLYes0.9009002002564$508.50
23:22:13SELLNo0.0616$0.99
22:14:17SELLNo0.061$0.06
17:33:01BUYYes0.93999996281$1.01
17:32:58BUYYes0.9129$26.29
17:32:32BUYYes0.9099991081$1.01
17:32:31BUYYes0.927$23.92
20:44:22SELLYes0.855$4.25
22:01:05SELLYes0.855$4.25
00:01:19BUYNo0.120$2.00
06:19:28SELLNo0.098$0.73
12:08:02BUYYes0.907495311833$30.00
13:18:38BUYYes0.913$2.91
13:18:14SELLYes0.836505334438$32.15
03:44:40BUYYes0.9099991081$1.01
03:44:40BUYYes0.9099991081$1.01