Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.960. up 0.015 over the period, from 0.945. Range 0.945 to 0.966. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.969	30	30
0.970	40	70
0.972	91	161
0.973	101	262
0.980	1,374	1,636
0.989	36	1,672
0.990	10	1,682
0.991	40	1,722
0.995	125	1,848
0.996	233	2,081
0.997	333	2,414
0.998	82	2,496

Spread0.019Mid0.960

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.950	1,163	1,163
0.930	229	1,392
0.920	100	1,492
0.900	100	1,592
0.871	8	1,600
0.870	1,000	2,600
0.831	10	2,610
0.830	387	2,996
0.790	200	3,196
0.740	500	3,696
0.700	1,410	5,106
0.090	20	5,126

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.050	1,163	1,163
0.070	229	1,392
0.080	100	1,492
0.100	100	1,592
0.129	8	1,600
0.130	1,000	2,600
0.169	10	2,610
0.170	387	2,996
0.210	200	3,196
0.260	500	3,696
0.300	1,410	5,106
0.910	20	5,126

Spread0.019Mid0.041

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.031	30	30
0.030	40	70
0.028	91	161
0.027	101	262
0.020	1,374	1,636
0.011	36	1,672
0.010	10	1,682
0.009	40	1,722
0.005	125	1,848
0.004	233	2,081
0.003	333	2,414
0.002	82	2,496

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ImJustKen	Yes	1,967.67
0xB16B00B5	Yes	1,574.14
pako	Yes	575.66
puravida	Yes	342.71
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	275
mombil	Yes	220.74
TheWolfOfPoly	Yes	183
jtradegbr	Yes	181.73
terrytrl101	Yes	160.27
donthackme	Yes	133.19
cry.eth2	Yes	70.32
11122	Yes	64.3
PPMT	Yes	29.92
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	25
SiSi	Yes	25
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	20.67
hzxs7766	Yes	18.71
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	10.88
0xe987…b9c5	Yes	10.02
cy6erpunker	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:47:25	SELL	Yes	0.9505160189	76	$72.39
18:04:19	BUY	Yes	0.96	145	$139.08
11:24:54	SELL	Yes	0.95	74	$70.53
00:09:00	BUY	Yes	0.96	6	$5.28
19:01:10	BUY	Yes	0.95	74	$70.53
11:06:01	SELL	Yes	0.93	3	$3.06
16:49:22	SELL	Yes	0.93	8	$7.29
06:30:13	SELL	No	0.05	14	$0.71
17:07:18	SELL	Yes	0.93	9	$8.81
15:26:16	BUY	Yes	0.94	13	$12.22
10:48:33	SELL	Yes	0.9119144893	21	$19.20
10:48:33	BUY	Yes	0.95	1	$1.11
10:45:15	BUY	Yes	0.949999962	5	$5.00
10:45:15	BUY	Yes	0.949999962	5	$5.00
10:45:12	BUY	Yes	0.949999962	5	$5.00
06:21:42	BUY	Yes	0.95	5	$5.00
06:16:51	BUY	Yes	0.93	14	$13.28
14:38:52	BUY	Yes	0.94	30	$28.20
20:58:17	SELL	Yes	0.92	26	$23.89
16:30:16	BUY	Yes	0.95	9	$9.00
20:44:36	SELL	No	0.06	1	$0.09
20:10:58	BUY	Yes	0.9399999729	1	$1.39
20:10:57	BUY	Yes	0.93	5	$4.65
20:01:12	BUY	Yes	0.94	1	$1.36
20:01:10	BUY	Yes	0.91	5	$4.55