PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe98793eb114b65ab43f1aef9e51e80f6e1a7b9c5

Realised P&L
$147.26
Volume
$240.3k
Markets traded
354
Open portfolio
$463.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded354
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · No0.4530.914$148.46+$74.97
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · No0.7330.929$136.65+$28.81
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1660.081$89.95$95.89
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1340.840$36.00+$30.23
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.4240.130$26.75$60.50
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3190.090$10.21$26.01
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? · Yes0.8230.961$9.62+$1.37
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.935$5.50+$0.50
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.6400.090$0.79$4.83
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.8800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?SELL0.84$10.14
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?SELL0.8488318144$10.25
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?SELL0.84$15.97
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.8699998309$4.99
05-18 15:18Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?SELL0.843145917$25.19