PolyBot

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Traders

cy6erpunker

0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321

Realised P&L
$13.7k
Volume
$1.89M
Markets traded
789
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded789
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$1.2k+$474.75
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$275.25−$474.75
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8640.945$141.44+$12.13
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7280.695$32.92−$1.56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8600.945$18.31+$1.65
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9520.980$10.30+$0.29
US defaults on debt by 2027? · No0.9700.990$9.89+$0.20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.945$9.89+$0.89
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? · Yes0.8500.972$9.71+$1.22
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? · No0.9170.859$8.59−$0.58
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8400.905$5.39+$0.39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7120.840$5.37+$0.82
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? · No0.9100.915$5.03+$0.03
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9750.983$4.92+$0.04
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8900.961$4.85+$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:47Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
11-01 05:59Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.707999983$1.00
11-01 05:08Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
11-01 05:07Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.29$0.85
11-01 03:39Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
11-01 03:35Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
11-01 03:26Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?BUY0.649999805$1.00
11-01 03:16Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?BUY0.6899996964$1.00
11-01 02:48Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-31 16:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-31 16:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.45$0.94
10-31 16:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-31 11:51Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-31 11:29AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?BUY0.78$1.00
10-31 11:26AI bubble burst in 2026?SELL0.903$4.52