cy6erpunker
0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321
- Realised P&L
- $14.1k
- Volume
- $1.90M
- Markets traded
- 645
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded645
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.502Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$6.0kat 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.6kat 0.657Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.1kat 0.994Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$3.2kat 0.651Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 02:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.90 |
| 09-11 18:28 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $227.04 |
| 09-11 13:14 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-11 12:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.06 |
| 09-11 12:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.22 |
| 09-11 12:36 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.51 |
| 09-11 12:35 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.2058908585 | $38.45 |
| 09-11 05:40 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $11.11 |
| 09-10 14:57 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.32 |
| 09-10 13:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:37 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 12:15 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $198.71 |
| 09-10 12:12 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.21 |
| 09-10 08:55 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |