cy6erpunker
0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321
- Realised P&L
- $13.7k
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Markets traded
- 789
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded789
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.502Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$6.0kat 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.6kat 0.657Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.1kat 0.994Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$3.2kat 0.651Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:59 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.707999983 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:08 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:07 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.85 |
| 11-01 03:39 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:35 | Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:26 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:16 | Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 02:48 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.94 |
| 10-31 16:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 11:51 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 11:29 | AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 11:26 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.903 | $4.52 |