PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pako

0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338

Realised P&L
$261.1k
Volume
$19.00M
Markets traded
479
Open portfolio
$118.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded479
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5800.565$34.9k$933.18
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.6820.325$32.7k$36.0k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.2670.810$20.9k+$14.0k
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · No0.9130.920$6.3k+$49.88
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · No0.5620.900$6.2k+$2.3k
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · No0.7740.938$5.0k+$873.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7450.805$3.4k+$252.14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6580.165$2.3k$6.8k
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9400.955$1.6k+$25.04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.095$1.4k$5.3k
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · No0.9000.933$954.06+$34.04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? · Yes0.8470.930$535.37+$47.64
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1880.048$481.91$1.4k
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.7920.370$431.90$492.46
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.8140.445$368.63$305.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 17:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.1842034402$181.09
07-29 17:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.1884981599$2.6k
07-29 17:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.1859799985$2.6k
07-28 23:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.246$48.15
07-28 22:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.997$6.5k
07-27 13:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$260.7k
07-27 13:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7679290263$3.6k
07-27 13:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7692389381$1.6k
07-27 13:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7709968$3.9k
07-27 13:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7712716442$10.3k
07-27 13:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7728720062$10.0k
07-27 13:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7732517571$21.7k
07-27 13:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.7814512274$15.7k
07-27 13:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.788652$23.7k
07-24 14:49Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?SELL0.8076635047$48.53