PolyBot

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Traders

pako

0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338

Realised P&L
$431.3k
Volume
$20.27M
Markets traded
487
Open portfolio
$58.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded487
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:41Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.9555668009$250.00
10-31 18:39Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.9521341817$3.0k
10-31 18:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.984$13.3k
10-28 23:03Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?BUY0.57$225.15
10-27 15:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.943$2.1k
10-27 15:15Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?BUY0.6$102.60
10-27 15:14Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.7965446732$2.2k
10-27 15:13Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?BUY0.2$5.00
10-27 15:13Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?BUY0.229999994$5.00
10-27 15:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.04$10.20
10-27 14:58Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?BUY0.5$5.00
10-22 15:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.93$3.4k
10-22 15:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.93$75.4k
10-22 15:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$77.4k
10-16 12:25Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.01