pako
0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338
- Realised P&L
- $261.1k
- Volume
- $19.00M
- Markets traded
- 479
- Open portfolio
- $118.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded479
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.9kat 0.789No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$82.2kat 0.802Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$72.3kat 0.896Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$69.7kat 0.857No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
- +$68.7kat 0.870Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1842034402 | $181.09 |
| 07-29 17:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1884981599 | $2.6k |
| 07-29 17:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1859799985 | $2.6k |
| 07-28 23:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.246 | $48.15 |
| 07-28 22:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.5k |
| 07-27 13:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $260.7k |
| 07-27 13:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7679290263 | $3.6k |
| 07-27 13:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7692389381 | $1.6k |
| 07-27 13:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7709968 | $3.9k |
| 07-27 13:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7712716442 | $10.3k |
| 07-27 13:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7728720062 | $10.0k |
| 07-27 13:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7732517571 | $21.7k |
| 07-27 13:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7814512274 | $15.7k |
| 07-27 13:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.788652 | $23.7k |
| 07-24 14:49 | Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? | SELL | 0.8076635047 | $48.53 |