Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-11-08
Rewards: 200 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.183. down 0.020 over the period, from 0.203. Range 0.157 to 0.203. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.184	1,572	1,572
0.185	75,324	76,896
0.187	200	77,096
0.188	720	77,816
0.191	840	78,656
0.192	200	78,856
0.193	11,962	90,818
0.194	11,980	102,798
0.200	10,030	112,828
0.202	29	112,856
0.203	7,057	119,913
0.204	353	120,267

Spread0.002Mid0.183

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.182	1,163	1,163
0.181	3,327	4,490
0.180	5,000	9,490
0.179	200	9,690
0.178	520	10,210
0.176	2,431	12,641
0.175	10,420	23,061
0.173	11,997	35,057
0.172	640	35,697
0.169	865	36,562
0.168	100	36,662
0.167	100	36,762

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.818	1,163	1,163
0.819	3,327	4,490
0.820	5,000	9,490
0.821	200	9,690
0.822	520	10,210
0.824	2,431	12,641
0.825	10,420	23,061
0.827	11,997	35,057
0.828	640	35,697
0.831	865	36,562
0.832	100	36,662
0.833	100	36,762

Spread0.002Mid0.817

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.816	1,572	1,572
0.815	75,324	76,896
0.813	200	77,096
0.812	720	77,816
0.809	840	78,656
0.808	200	78,856
0.807	11,962	90,818
0.806	11,980	102,798
0.800	10,030	112,828
0.798	29	112,856
0.797	7,057	119,913
0.796	353	120,267

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
98better	Yes	582,055.22
woshiLimpeh	Yes	442,413.95
nextdayoff	Yes	253,757.35
0x312Ee6A5878a5582e8f96700E6268171BF9D8604-1773448361331	Yes	250,614.44
Monopoly_Money	Yes	161,069.81
tugator	Yes	150,000.31
ScottyNooo	Yes	102,809.42
Nadmi	Yes	100,000
dresden77	Yes	99,820.26
0xa0f2…1848	Yes	92,473.07
BTCGambler247	Yes	85,084.37
ImJustKen	Yes	74,410.65
platnervsvance	Yes	66,923.8
Inhabit	Yes	54,899.63
abundance11	Yes	43,129.82
Wan234	Yes	39,999.99
Katello	Yes	36,402.14
ultrakek	Yes	35,714.29
wontonhairspray	Yes	29,507.36
iraa3	Yes	19,999.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:34:10	SELL	Yes	0.182	5	$0.94
20:12:37	BUY	Yes	0.1831713317	55	$10.00
19:44:06	BUY	Yes	0.1829999958	5	$1.00
19:08:22	BUY	Yes	0.1829999991	109	$20.00
18:02:28	BUY	No	0.8179999991	61	$50.00
17:20:06	BUY	No	0.8179999247	1	$1.00
17:12:39	SELL	Yes	0.182	1,162	$211.57
17:12:33	SELL	Yes	0.182	1	$0.24
17:12:33	SELL	Yes	0.182	0	$0.03
17:12:33	SELL	Yes	0.183	420	$76.84
17:12:33	SELL	Yes	0.184	22	$4.05
17:12:33	SELL	Yes	0.187	589	$110.20
14:05:54	SELL	Yes	0.183	5	$0.86
13:17:48	BUY	Yes	0.1919999939	10	$2.00
12:10:00	BUY	Yes	0.1919999754	5	$1.00
11:43:39	SELL	No	0.808	6	$5.07
11:27:19	SELL	Yes	0.181	46	$8.35
11:18:10	BUY	Yes	0.192	50	$9.60
11:16:40	SELL	Yes	0.19	320	$60.80
10:59:22	BUY	Yes	0.184	300	$55.20
10:47:55	BUY	Yes	0.184	400	$73.60
05:43:09	BUY	No	0.825	83	$68.61
05:43:07	BUY	Yes	0.187	83	$15.55
05:06:55	SELL	Yes	0.175	22	$3.87
05:02:51	BUY	Yes	0.191999991	7	$1.37