Wan234
0x0ebfcd3efd430309fe2d421f06ace87d6ba25bfa
- Realised P&L
- $-24.5k
- Volume
- $1.56M
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $22.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.808US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.686US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.784US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$948.81at 0.679Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$435.48at 0.586Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:02 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 11-01 16:59 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 11-01 14:45 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 14:45 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.769 | $15.38 |
| 11-01 14:45 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.746 | $14.92 |
| 11-01 06:53 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-31 17:40 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 10-30 18:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 10-30 11:20 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-30 11:13 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $23.75 |
| 10-30 10:52 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.19 |
| 10-30 09:34 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.696 | $3.48 |
| 10-29 14:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.45 | $225.00 |
| 10-29 14:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.231 | $115.50 |