Wan234
0x0ebfcd3efd430309fe2d421f06ace87d6ba25bfa
- Realised P&L
- $-25.1k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $17.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.808US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.686US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.784US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$948.81at 0.679Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$435.48at 0.586Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:13 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.19 |
| 09-14 07:29 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.17 |
| 09-12 08:49 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.48 |
| 09-09 08:37 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.82 |
| 08-31 11:53 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-27 13:13 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.16 |
| 08-27 08:19 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-26 17:53 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.25 |
| 08-18 13:49 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.92 |
| 08-17 17:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.60 |
| 08-17 17:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.02 |
| 08-17 17:56 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-14 04:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $8.51 |
| 08-13 07:14 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.40 |
| 08-13 06:50 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |