0x312Ee6A5878a5582e8f96700E6268171BF9D8604-1773448361331
0x312ee6a5878a5582e8f96700e6268171bf9d8604
- Realised P&L
- $-134.5k
- Volume
- $5.49M
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $69.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.221 | $55.3k | +$6.2k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.055 | $14.2k | −$31.5k |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.3kat 0.118Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$-5.6kat 0.061Netanyahu out by April 30?
- +$-9.4kat 0.014Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$-10.0kat 0.007Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:51 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.187 | $9.9k |
| 05-15 00:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.1006763634 | $2.4k |
| 05-15 00:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.4k |
| 05-15 00:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.5k |
| 05-15 00:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.0k |
| 05-14 23:07 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999987 | $77.83 |
| 05-13 18:12 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1884082572 | $9.6k |
| 05-07 15:48 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1978997299 | $2.4k |
| 05-07 15:47 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.0150493127 | $1.7k |
| 05-07 15:47 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.0116099355 | $448.62 |
| 05-07 15:47 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.0205986853 | $332.19 |
| 04-30 23:16 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2241354772 | $700.00 |
| 04-30 23:15 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2176743467 | $4.0k |
| 04-30 23:15 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2094117572 | $5.0k |
| 04-30 23:11 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.204469872 | $1.6k |