wontonhairspray
0xfd7998ee2850bbd58d1fb50f50148a57e8d42c13
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $98.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.221 | $6.5k | −$2.4k |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.105 | $1.9k | −$670.30 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No | 0.800 | 0.591 | $133.36 | −$47.32 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-340.99at 0.051Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 20:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.143 | $2.6k |
| 06-04 20:51 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1588441901 | $2.8k |
| 05-29 06:38 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8 | $180.68 |
| 12-13 08:36 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3010495684 | $14.1k |
| 12-13 08:36 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.0513228178 | $341.00 |
| 12-13 08:29 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |