abundance11
0x3a0e075154f30c8ab79ab7765fec4733ff0a0ba6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $54.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.221 | $9.5k | −$2.7k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.512 | $51.25 | −$1.75 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.80 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.91 |
| Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$134.76 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.88 |
| Megaquake by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$413.68at 0.742US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$46.81at 0.959Trump announce run for 3rd term?
- +$39.00at 0.800Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
- +$-83.27at 0.139Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?
- +$-116.07at 0.570US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 15:58 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.146 | $2.92 |
| 12-18 03:53 | Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31? | BUY | 0.699 | $15.53 |
| 12-18 03:48 | Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31? | BUY | 0.7991304461 | $30.63 |
| 12-18 03:47 | Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 12-18 03:41 | Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 11-16 04:32 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.22 |
| 11-11 17:30 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 11-11 17:30 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.49 |
| 11-11 01:21 | Trump announce run for 3rd term? | BUY | 0.96 | $877.65 |
| 11-04 15:53 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.7k |
| 11-04 15:46 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.29 | $290.00 |
| 10-31 16:27 | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | SELL | 0.4376794081 | $383.93 |
| 10-31 16:22 | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.8k |
| 10-23 02:44 | Will the Government shutdown end by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 02:42 | Will the Government shutdown end by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $146.00 |