PolyBot

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Traders

abundance11

0x3a0e075154f30c8ab79ab7765fec4733ff0a0ba6

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$54.2k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2830.221$9.5k$2.7k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5300.512$51.25$1.75
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$37.80
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition · No0.1300.000$0.00$13.91
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00$134.76
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$13.88
Megaquake by December 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$6.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-29 15:58US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY0.146$2.92
12-18 03:53Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?BUY0.699$15.53
12-18 03:48Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?BUY0.7991304461$30.63
12-18 03:47Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?BUY0.5$50.00
12-18 03:41Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?BUY0.31$12.40
11-16 04:32Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?SELL0.002$1.22
11-11 17:30Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?BUY0.16$16.00
11-11 17:30Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?BUY0.15$1.49
11-11 01:21Trump announce run for 3rd term?BUY0.96$877.65
11-04 15:53Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.29$7.7k
11-04 15:46Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.29$290.00
10-31 16:27US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?SELL0.4376794081$383.93
10-31 16:22US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?SELL0.971$1.8k
10-23 02:44Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?BUY0.8$10.00
10-23 02:42Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?BUY0.8$146.00