Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.23 over the period, from 0.40. Range 0.12 to 0.53. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	48	48
0.22	40	88
0.25	4	92
0.27	20	112
0.28	5	117
0.30	1,000	1,117
0.48	50	1,167
0.49	2,000	3,167
0.56	100	3,267
0.57	20	3,287
0.58	40	3,327
0.59	488	3,815

Spread0.08Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	44	44
0.12	57	101
0.11	150	251
0.07	6	257
0.06	100	357
0.05	356	713
0.04	594	1,307
0.03	861	2,167
0.02	1,759	3,926
0.01	114,712	118,638

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	44	44
0.88	57	101
0.89	150	251
0.93	6	257
0.94	100	357
0.95	356	713
0.96	594	1,307
0.97	861	2,167
0.98	1,759	3,926
0.99	114,712	118,638

Spread0.08Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	48	48
0.78	40	88
0.75	4	92
0.73	20	112
0.72	5	117
0.70	1,000	1,117
0.52	50	1,167
0.51	2,000	3,167
0.44	100	3,267
0.43	20	3,287
0.42	40	3,327
0.41	488	3,815

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xc602…c4d2	Yes	598.54
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	270.35
thursdays	Yes	245.43
alpheclabs	Yes	238.62
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	185.99
yoyobb2018	Yes	100
rb50	Yes	85.77
peter239784	Yes	84
JHJH	Yes	64.48
ImSweating	Yes	50
Codename47	Yes	40
PPMT	Yes	30.05
Carabao	Yes	30
0x2aa9…206c	Yes	28.22
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	27.99
maritime6307	Yes	26
jk30	Yes	20
youyizhiguangg	Yes	20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	19.99
GuyFromTinder	Yes	17.63

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:59:19	SELL	Yes	0.16	150	$24.00
18:39:21	BUY	No	0.86	132	$113.52
18:28:18	BUY	No	0.85	34	$28.90
18:25:09	BUY	No	0.83	21	$17.43
18:25:09	BUY	No	0.82	51	$41.82
14:03:00	SELL	No	0.75	28	$20.92
14:02:54	SELL	No	0.76	33	$24.93
14:02:45	SELL	No	0.76	7	$5.47
14:02:39	SELL	No	0.7862616822	54	$42.06
12:42:15	BUY	No	0.84	29	$24.36
08:45:52	BUY	Yes	0.21	30	$6.30
02:35:10	BUY	Yes	0.23	23	$5.29
00:32:34	BUY	No	0.79	31	$24.49
00:28:51	BUY	No	0.7899999905	25	$20.00
00:12:01	BUY	Yes	0.2038979592	49	$9.99
23:06:31	BUY	No	0.84	32	$26.88
22:51:31	SELL	No	0.85	59	$50.15
14:42:16	BUY	No	0.85	52	$44.20
14:42:03	BUY	No	0.8399999939	20	$16.63
14:42:01	BUY	No	0.8399821429	224	$188.16
14:41:46	BUY	No	0.82	31	$25.42
13:26:13	SELL	Yes	0.17	19	$3.19
13:25:19	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40
13:25:13	BUY	No	0.8	19	$15.00
13:25:12	BUY	No	0.79	70	$55.30