PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Codename47

0x199fe584e010b778b7b7c5c6c3c32c99fd8544f8

Realised P&L
$12.92
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$21.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.545$21.80$3.80
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17? · No0.6200.000$0.00$15.50
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00$15.81
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$3.00
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$15.00
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.85
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$0.68
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.2760.000$0.00$3.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$15.00
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? · Avatar0.0260.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:45Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.3899999774$5.00
07-19 19:14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2424999882$15.00
06-23 18:36Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?SELL0.994$22.84
06-23 18:35Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?SELL0.91$12.46
06-21 19:35Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.919999919$10.00
06-21 19:35Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
06-21 19:08Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.699999993$10.00
06-09 09:57Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?BUY0.2143653977$20.00
04-13 05:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.26$9.82
04-13 05:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
03-23 13:32Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.22$10.00
03-23 13:31US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
03-07 08:03Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3299999886$15.00
03-04 17:42US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.5399999971$30.00
03-04 17:42US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.3699999674$5.00