Codename47
0x199fe584e010b778b7b7c5c6c3c32c99fd8544f8
- Realised P&L
- $12.92
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $21.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.05at 0.180Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$25.56at 0.540US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$17.03at 0.370US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$8.86at 0.360Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$7.86at 0.560Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2424999882 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 18:36 | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $22.84 |
| 06-23 18:35 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | SELL | 0.91 | $12.46 |
| 06-21 19:35 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.919999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 19:35 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 19:08 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 09:57 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2143653977 | $20.00 |
| 04-13 05:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.82 |
| 04-13 05:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 13:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 13:31 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 08:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 03-04 17:42 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.5399999971 | $30.00 |
| 03-04 17:42 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |