PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rb50

0x270a34538f7c315f01cc751a5d88557751604246

Realised P&L
$-21.02
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$14.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.170$14.58−$47.17
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$9.14
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? · No0.3370.000$0.00−$242.32
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$20.99
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$252.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 20:54Will Cisco say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.98$11.42
08-11 21:33Will Cava say "Catering" during earnings call?BUY0.8782409116$21.92
08-11 21:06Will Cava say "Shrimp" during earnings call?BUY0.9799999803$30.92
08-11 21:05Will Cava say "Expansion" during earnings call?BUY0.98$62.39
08-10 21:39Will Hims say "Wearable" during earnings call?BUY0.97$6.59
08-10 21:27Will Hims say "Subscriber" 15+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9602764093$50.07
08-10 21:24Will Hims say "Quarter" 20+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9726053075$174.32
08-10 21:23Will Hims say "Europe" during earnings call?BUY0.98$9.80
08-10 21:16Will Hims say "Peptide" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.98$65.74
08-06 21:59Will Airbnb say "Guest" 20+ times during earnings call?SELL0.5606464665$59.58
08-06 21:40Will Airbnb say "International" during earnings call?BUY0.9750304139$19.62
08-06 21:20Will Airbnb say "Guest" 20+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9794006356$104.09
08-06 21:09Will Airbnb say "World Cup" during earnings call?BUY0.9755964023$48.74
08-06 21:08Will Airbnb say "Boutique" during earnings call?BUY0.98$19.31
08-06 13:25Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?BUY0.4234496238$99.92