Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.19. Range 0.07 to 0.19. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	49	49
0.11	205	254
0.12	209	463
0.13	742	1,205
0.14	357	1,562
0.15	13	1,575
0.16	81	1,656
0.17	383	2,039
0.20	83	2,122
0.21	258	2,381
0.22	650	3,031
0.45	16	3,047

Spread0.04Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	60	60
0.05	1,992	2,052
0.04	709	2,761
0.03	985	3,746
0.02	2,583	6,329
0.01	5,455	11,784

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	60	60
0.95	1,992	2,052
0.96	709	2,761
0.97	985	3,746
0.98	2,583	6,329
0.99	5,455	11,784

Spread0.04Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	49	49
0.89	205	254
0.88	209	463
0.87	742	1,205
0.86	357	1,562
0.85	13	1,575
0.84	81	1,656
0.83	383	2,039
0.80	83	2,122
0.79	258	2,381
0.78	650	3,031
0.55	16	3,047

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	1,540.52
balthazar	Yes	600
BlackJellyfish	Yes	364.22
wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes	183.69
dgfd76	Yes	163.91
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	144.2
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	120
pestanimal	Yes	66.64
Oklmntrader	Yes	49.44
r1stal	Yes	34.57
AJSV	Yes	30.86
donotthinktwice	Yes	29.51
Elton123	Yes	28.48
LornaPredicts	Yes	22.81
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	19
b4rbed	Yes	12.35
monoclith	Yes	6
0x861e05199E800FF6CBC6261C0558DB16353E36F6-1781256530128	Yes	5
KiraHK1	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	3,163.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:05:33	BUY	Yes	0.095963939	144	$13.84
03:05:32	SELL	Yes	0.08	159	$12.76
03:05:08	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
03:04:56	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
03:04:54	BUY	No	0.91	40	$36.40
03:04:54	BUY	No	0.9099999999	278	$252.93
03:04:54	BUY	No	0.9099999998	50	$45.67
20:59:33	SELL	Yes	0.09	41	$3.68
06:56:21	SELL	Yes	0.094	20	$1.88
06:56:20	SELL	Yes	0.1	37	$3.70
06:34:03	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:33:20	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:33:05	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:32:12	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:31:32	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:31:20	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:31:12	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:31:03	BUY	No	0.91	40	$36.40
06:30:50	BUY	No	0.91	40	$36.40
06:30:11	BUY	No	0.9	10	$9.00
06:29:48	BUY	No	0.9	10	$9.00
06:29:35	BUY	No	0.9	10	$9.00
06:29:17	SELL	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
06:29:15	BUY	No	0.89	10	$8.90
06:29:02	BUY	No	0.89	10	$8.90

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of… · PolyBot