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Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Resolves by
https://livebench.ai/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.006. down 0.240 over the period, from 0.246. Range 0.006 to 0.376. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0071515
0.0127287
0.014259346
0.05921367
0.25020387
0.34620407
0.47640447
0.62640487
0.74010497
0.96810507
0.996394901
0.99710,00010,901

Spread0.002Mid0.006

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0051010
0.0041020
0.0033051
0.0024192
0.001445537

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9951010
0.9961020
0.9973051
0.9984192
0.999445537

Spread0.002Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9931515
0.9887287
0.986259346
0.94121367
0.75020387
0.65420407
0.52440447
0.37440487
0.26010497
0.03210507
0.004394901
0.00310,00010,901

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes412.23
crossFiterYes258.73
AJSVYes102.29
Tee1000Yes81.14
rouxshanYes75
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes72.57
GingerMcKennaYes60.09
LesterDiamondYes50.07
0x03fe18E4C2A8728b6738c7C351b6dABDC598e409-1791709447150Yes37.25
molodoyyYes35.1
PPMTYes30
Numitus1994Yes21.67
manochartinoYes15.36
viniiYes10.55
TENETENETYes10
triklozoidYes5
RespireYes3.68
FleursYes3.4
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149Yes1.76
0xa5ef…2966No1,206.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:44:15BUYNo0.99410$9.94
18:48:45SELLYes0.0095$0.05
18:01:49BUYNo0.9993$2.79
18:01:49BUYNo0.99810$9.98
17:55:30SELLYes0.0015$0.00
17:55:30SELLYes0.0017114829232$0.40
17:01:15SELLYes0.00625013481$3.00
16:33:30SELLYes0.0035$0.02
16:33:30SELLYes0.1384840166268$37.13
16:33:21BUYNo0.834$3.38
16:33:10BUYNo0.7719$6.73
16:33:10BUYNo0.75840$30.32
13:54:23SELLYes0.25420$5.08
12:32:58BUYNo0.68420$13.68
11:20:35BUYNo0.69620$13.92
09:55:32BUYNo0.61260$36.72
09:55:31BUYYes0.38720$7.74
09:00:55BUYNo0.646863247933$21.19
09:00:55BUYNo0.64210$6.42
09:00:55BUYNo0.63120$12.62
08:51:31BUYNo0.64220$12.84
08:42:49SELLNo0.61620$12.32
07:50:13BUYYes0.28520$5.70
07:49:44BUYYes0.29520$5.90
07:46:53BUYNo0.66549$32.59