PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x03fe18E4C2A8728b6738c7C351b6dABDC598e409-1791709447150

0x03fe18e4c2a8728b6738c7c351b6dabdc598e409

Realised P&L
$-8.11
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$75.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.5270.968$18.37+$8.37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4200.475$16.96+$1.96
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · Yes0.5500.735$13.36+$3.36
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.7160.675$9.42−$0.58
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3630.330$9.10−$0.90
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2800.235$8.39−$1.61
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2680.006$0.22−$9.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 15:19Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?BUY0.5499999753$10.00
10-15 15:06Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0047547263$2.50
10-15 15:05Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.7164178762$10.00
10-11 14:27US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.5269489603$10.00
10-11 14:17Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3627450923$10.00
10-11 14:09Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.4199999966$15.00
10-11 13:53Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2684630712$10.00
10-11 09:37Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.019$10.00
10-11 09:29Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2799999978$10.00