0x03fe18E4C2A8728b6738c7C351b6dABDC598e409-1791709447150
0x03fe18e4c2a8728b6738c7c351b6dabdc598e409
- Realised P&L
- $-8.11
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $75.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No | 0.527 | 0.968 | $18.37 | +$8.37 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.475 | $16.96 | +$1.96 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.735 | $13.36 | +$3.36 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.716 | 0.675 | $9.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.330 | $9.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.235 | $8.39 | −$1.61 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.006 | $0.22 | −$9.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-8.11at 0.020Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:19 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.5499999753 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 15:06 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0047547263 | $2.50 |
| 10-15 15:05 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.7164178762 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 14:27 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.5269489603 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 14:17 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3627450923 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 14:09 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $15.00 |
| 10-11 13:53 | Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2684630712 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 09:37 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 09:29 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |