PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manochartino

0xc20e060399c2679fffd2639ebb019e734fc30a5e

Realised P&L
$545.65
Volume
$8.71M
Markets traded
952
Open portfolio
$81.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded952
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4090.345$18.08$3.36
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,0000.3020.325$12.51+$0.86
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5390.645$9.68+$1.58
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.1870.315$5.57+$2.26
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$5.50$10.50
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.095$4.75$5.25
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0540.059$3.65+$0.30
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0340.026$2.70$0.72
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.037$2.63$4.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.013$2.29$2.98
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.034$1.68+$0.58
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.2030.554$1.50+$0.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.020$1.28$1.81
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3890.080$1.27$4.96
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.029$1.14$1.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 19:21Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?SELL0.22$2.20
06-28 19:59Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?SELL0.2$2.00
06-24 05:50Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?SELL0.13$1.30
06-15 12:55Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.068$0.70
06-14 12:48Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?BUY0.05$0.50
06-12 10:02Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?SELL0.367$2.20
06-09 09:51Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?BUY0.07$1.54
06-09 08:00Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?BUY0.07$1.54
06-05 20:56Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?BUY0.0487590909$1.07
06-02 07:37Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?BUY0.28$3.08
05-31 10:08Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?BUY0.18$1.08
05-30 18:52Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.41$2.05
05-30 08:00Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?BUY0.47$2.40
05-28 19:21Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?SELL0.16$0.80
05-28 13:51Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?BUY0.17$1.73