PolyBot

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Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-06-30
Resolves by
https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. Unchanged over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.001. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001499499
0.009100598
0.01035633
0.0119642
0.012156798
0.02035833
0.03030863
0.1115868
0.18133901
0.2532251,126
0.254101,136
0.4211001,236

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999499499
0.991100598
0.99035633
0.9899642
0.988156798
0.98035833
0.97030863
0.8895868
0.81933901
0.7472251,126
0.746101,136
0.5791001,236

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dsfd3Yes620
LucerysYes386.95
e46m3Yes340.43
LornaPredictsYes279.34
donthackmeYes258.64
mildwindow27Yes251.23
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
smallreceiptYes135
balthazarYes121.75
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060Yes112
TENETENETYes100
sanduspaceYes100
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes99.65
em...wellYes69
alex20011Yes62.75
0x3e3cFf5E598b86A176416C9eC914E871B1E7e1D6-1786140877974Yes50
citcapYes44
GingerMcKennaYes42.11
Numitus1994Yes42
plainfolderYes40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:11:24BUYYes0.0015$0.01
03:10:30BUYYes0.0015$0.01
03:10:21BUYYes0.0015$0.01
03:10:13BUYYes0.0015$0.01
03:10:04BUYYes0.0015$0.01
03:09:58BUYYes0.0015$0.01
03:09:52BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:55BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:46BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:37BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:33BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:22BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:13BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:07BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:26:03BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:51BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:48BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:42BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:36BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:28BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:25BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:21BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:13BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:07BUYYes0.0015$0.01
01:25:03BUYYes0.0015$0.01