PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.04 to 0.13. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1588
0.161220
0.17100120
0.355125
0.5840165
0.591,4601,625
0.82301,655
0.83281,683
0.8461,689
0.95451,734
0.96101,744
0.9851,749

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8588
0.841220
0.83100120
0.655125
0.4240165
0.411,4601,625
0.18301,655
0.17281,683
0.1661,689
0.05451,734
0.04101,744
0.0251,749

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
shiifooYes1,426
xtxpleasecallmeYes774.85
wuwuwuwuwu11Yes323.2
rocky42001Yes299.99
LornaPredictsYes156.11
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes46.96
cigarettesYes37.54
siboooooYes29
ViscaElBarcaYes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes19.55
0xd96a…d8ceYes17.88
wrongdirectionYes14.74
vonhalenYes12.89
bjproloYes10
Oliverstewart21Yes10
ddd1d43Yes9.95
meitalgYes9
jjrdYes5
velorotYes5
0xc7D5670680A73067135fE24B4c97F196F8C46b08-1782535538997Yes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:30:48SELLNo0.891$0.45
22:52:19BUYNo0.9920$19.80
22:52:19BUYNo0.98999951992$2.00
22:52:19BUYNo0.97799497243$41.58
22:52:19BUYNo0.9742$40.74
08:05:20SELLYes0.021$0.02
08:05:19BUYYes0.0630$1.80
08:05:19BUYYes0.061$0.05
10:32:19BUYNo0.9573484848132$126.37
10:21:05BUYNo0.966$5.76
10:13:25BUYNo0.9214$12.88
04:56:46SELLYes0.091$0.09
04:56:43SELLYes0.091$0.09
04:56:41BUYNo0.911$1.00
04:56:41BUYNo0.9120$18.20
07:13:59BUYYes0.0813$1.00
00:19:56BUYYes0.1120$2.20
00:09:54SELLYes0.075872884924$1.84
08:51:39BUYNo0.91999997732$1.62
08:51:38BUYNo0.936$32.40
08:42:36SELLNo0.870$0.19
23:45:36BUYNo0.87999971841$1.00
23:45:36BUYNo0.8719$16.44
18:30:44SELLYes0.110$0.99
18:29:06BUYNo0.88999999410$8.86