PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jjrd

0x53d395d95538d7b0a6346770378c79001e2360ee

Realised P&L
$-10.2k
Volume
$1.26M
Markets traded
16,948
Open portfolio
$4.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16,948
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? · Yes0.3200.460$2.30+$0.70
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? · Yes0.3900.373$1.87−$0.08
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0600.075$0.38+$0.07
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0900.021$0.10−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 1? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$9.40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 1? · Yes0.5840.000$0.00−$6.67
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 1? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$6.39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$2.46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$6.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 1? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00−$8.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 13:55Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1?SELL0.04$0.80
07-29 21:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?SELL0.999$0.57
07-29 21:25Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.67$33.50
07-29 21:25Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.41$1.64
07-29 21:24Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?SELL0.71$71.00
07-29 21:22Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?SELL0.24$0.48
07-29 21:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.68$3.40
07-29 21:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.41$6.54
07-29 21:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.83$41.50
07-29 21:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.14$7.00
07-29 21:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$42.50
07-29 20:04Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 29?SELL0.999$9.99
07-29 20:03Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on July 31?SELL0.27$5.40
07-29 20:02Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?SELL0.26$3.64
07-29 20:02Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 31?SELL0.35$7.00