Oliverstewart21
0x5c4253aaf9b060dcd4d6dbf4946b7a7cc8c36288
- Realised P&L
- $10.72
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $417.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.78at 0.155Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
- +$16.25at 0.608Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?
- +$13.66at 0.829Will Meta (META) finish week of September 21 above $710?
- +$8.73at 0.794Will Meta (META) finish week of September 21 above $700?
- +$3.62at 0.763Will Meta (META) finish week of September 21 above $720?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:07 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October? | BUY | 0.9079999988 | $15.00 |
| 10-20 07:37 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 20? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 14:17 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.14 |
| 10-19 14:16 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 05:55 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-19 05:53 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 03:26 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4789999707 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 11:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 11:06 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999909 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 09:50 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 11:34 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2227853529 | $37.87 |
| 10-09 10:23 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.239 | $5.74 |
| 10-09 07:16 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 10-08 15:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-08 13:10 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |