PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd96aa9293c34e244734f8b22bbcfde0ae9eed8ce

Realised P&L
$-10.5k
Volume
$1.95M
Markets traded
15,284
Open portfolio
$281.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,284
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · No0.3200.889$14.23+$9.11
Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes0.3000.785$12.56+$7.76
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · No0.5600.996$8.39+$3.67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 16? · Yes0.2201.000$7.91+$6.17
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · No0.7001.000$7.00+$2.10
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.6601.000$6.27+$2.13
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · No0.6701.000$6.18+$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.2701.000$6.00+$4.38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Yes0.2701.000$5.70+$4.16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? · Yes0.2200.705$5.16+$3.55
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.6801.000$5.00+$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? · Yes0.4100.991$4.96+$2.90
Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · No0.6260.627$4.95+$0.01
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? · No0.2300.230$4.83+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.6201.000$4.82+$1.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3099999648$1.76
09-17 04:52Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.4899999342$2.53
09-17 04:46Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.5899999323$2.44
09-17 03:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.509999974$6.48
09-17 03:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.5399999966$6.44
09-17 03:54Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.31$1.86
09-17 03:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.5399999759$6.72
09-17 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.56$6.30
09-17 02:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETBUY0.5$6.48
09-17 02:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.5199999659$6.71
09-17 01:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.5399999846$6.30
09-17 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.48$6.21
09-17 01:42Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.3099999919$1.53
09-17 01:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.48999997$6.20
09-17 01:34Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.2099999909$1.61